Why Scoble Wont Use Flash
July 5th, 2006
On July 5, 2006 Robert Scoble wrote:
Why don’t I use Flash for my Web sites? Here’s a good reason. [source]
The post has kicked off a pretty good debate in the comments section. My opinion is this:
I predict that Flash wont be the winner in the codec silo war because they have placed their bet on the proprietary on2 codec but we can expect a lot of frustration as folks struggle to publish video on the web in a way that will reach across OS and device platforms.
I predicted that the winner will be H264 in 3GP via RTSP and HTTP here: http://podslug.com/blog/?p=32
The only viable way out of the codec silo is if two strong vendors (like apple and real) agree to support the h264 standard with open file formats and open streaming protocols … then MS will follow, then Flash. This will only work if every part of the system is interoperable.
I wish the answer was Ogg Vorbis and Theora but I just don’t think that there will be enough market momentum behind this open source alternative to move the vendors to adopt it. [source]
What do you think?
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